A very interesting article in Rediff.com,
Before the 2003 World Cup, we had prepared a list of the statistically most valuable players.
Chris Gayle, Jacques Kallis, Chris Cairns, Sachin Tendulkar and Sanath Jayasuriya were the top five in that list.
This wasn't particularly surprising: all-rounders always have more opportunities to add value. So, outstanding all-rounders: great batsmen who bowl a bit, or great bowlers who can bat a bit, are always likely to be nearer the top.
Four years later, we have tried to prepare an MVP list for 2007 using essentially the same rules, but after tweaking the variables slightly.
In 2007, we will assume that the average score of an ODI team is 240 (it was 225 in 2003). This, in turn, implies an average strike rate of 80 (80 runs in 100 balls) for the batsman, and an average economy rate of 4.8 (48 runs conceded in 10 overs) for the bowler.
The article shows the top five most valuable player (MVP) in 2003.
Sanath Jayasurya,
Sachin Tendulkar from the sub-continent among others. And it also prepares an MVP for the 2007, considering recent 20 matches, which will accurately show the contribution to the team and the form. And then also analyses the recent 50, which pushes the form factor a bit further. The result Sanath is still in the top of the recent 20 matches.
And the first Indian to figure in the list is, of course, Sachin. He is still there, but at 23. I am sure some of you would give this excuse that he was away from playing cricket for sometime etc., For those of you, when you look at the MVP based on 50 matches, Sachin is at 13. He is trailing, the now out of form, Irfan Pathan. Okay, but where is Sanath. He is still in the top 5.
My question is thats all India has. And they hope to win the cup?
Is it fair to expect Sachin to perform in this world cup ?All that talk about Dhoni, that is the one name we hear so much these days.
It is interesting to see where he is.. guess.. he is 23 in the last 50 matches and 37 in the last 20 matches. This is really an eye opener.
We should lower our expectation on this present Indian team or else, folks in India will get disappointed and will start stoning the players home ( a repeat of 2003).
For more analysis..
MVP based on players last 20 matchesMVP based on players last 50 matches